Use good reasoning to make your own good decisions or arguments
What is
a good thinker? Look up The Mind's Best Work by D. N. Perkins (1981)
for outstanding examples, but for ordinary, everyday thinkers Ruggiero (1975)
says:
In the
simplest sense, one might say that the best way to win an argument is to be
right (see chapter 13). Being "on the side of truth" gives you
enormous advantage. But we can never know the truth for sure. That is why
scientists speak a special language, such as "the data suggests...,"
"the difference is significant at the .05 level" and so on. A
scientist is never certain; only true believers (basing their opinions on
faith) are certain.
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If a man's actions are
not guided by thoughtful conclusions, then they are guided by inconsiderate
impulse, unbalanced appetite, caprice, or the circumstances of the moment.
-John Dewey
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In
contrast to the poor arguments discussed in step 1, Missimer (1986) says Good
Arguments have these characteristics:
When
reasoning deductively, you start with a statement about "all,"
"every" or "only," and the conclusion logically follows:
(1) Everyone in my group of friends likes rock music.
(2) Bill is in my group. (3) Therefore, Bill likes rock. The real question is
if (1), the generalization, is accurate.
When
using another form of reasoning called inductive, you start with some specific
observations and draw generalizations: (1) I noticed that many students in my
school like rock music. (2) Therefore, "most" students like rock
music. The question here is: Have you made enough accurate observations to
warrant making the "inductive leap" to most students in your
school? to students in the state? to
students everywhere in the world? Statisticians use careful sampling techniques
and statistics to make accurate predictions, such as what people will buy or
how they will vote.
If
someone says, "Students are either serious or party animals," the
assumption is being made that students can not be both serious and party-lovers
and that students can not be disinterested in both studies and parties.
In most
arguments, there are many assumptions about both values and facts. Many are
subtle, e.g. that hiring the "best person" is better than affirmative
action, that personal gain is of more value than serving others, that
expressing anger reduces future anger, and so on. Uncover the assumptions being
made and decide if you agree with them.
Rather than being a hostile debater and trying to win, try to think constructively, i.e. by thinking together perhaps you and the other person can come closer to the truth.
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